“2018 was, without a doubt, a rollercoaster of a year. Many would argue that Brexit negotiations have progressed no further, more cabinet divisions have ensued, and Labour has failed to offer a strong alternative to this Conservative government. This begs the question- will 2019 be any better? Below are some of the possibilities that could be in store for the year ahead.”
After two and a half years, Theresa May’s sole important policy and aim has been dashed to pieces in the Commons. The majority against her is an astonishing 230 in the Commons. The Prime Minister wields no authority or power in the Chamber.
The US government has entered a third week of partial shutdown due to a funding dispute over a wall along the southern border with Mexico. Donald Trump has asserted that he could call a national emergency to fund the wall and bypass Congress, but the extent to which this is true is open for debate.
“It was no surprise that the threshold for triggering a vote of no confidence, sending 48 letters to the chairman of the 1922 select committee, was reached given May’s delay of the meaningful vote on the withdrawal agreement.” Joe examines the outcome of the confidence vote.
“When it comes to voting, age and young people (generally those aged 18-25), firstly data consistently indicates that young people are less likely to vote than older individuals and that the propensity to vote increases with age. The most interesting aspect of this is that this relationship is near universal.”
“In the era of austerity imposed by the coalition government, and subsequently followed by the latter two administrations, the police services have been hit severely.” Joe explains some of the implications of the Stop and Search Policy
“Pragmatism over sentiment, economic interests over ideology, and shared interests over isolationism have tended to characterise the UK’s relations overseas. British foreign policy strategies can be conceptualised as three typologies, as detailed below.”
‘Prof Philip Alston, an expert in human rights law and rapporteur on extreme poverty, visited locations across the UK to assess levels of poverty and the effect that austerity still has on the lives of the average Brit.’ Imogen analyses the UN’s findings.
“He has been open in his account for leaving, declaring that he couldn’t support Theresa May’s Brexit deal, and was quoted as saying it is essentially a choice “between vassalage and chaos.” Joe Monk analyses Jo Johnson’s resignation.
Lega and Five-Star are standing at a combined approval rating of 60%. Both Salvini and Maio have wanted to shun the Euro but have not been able to muster their true opinions into policy. The fact that the EU has rejected this new fiscally-loose budget, that would have given more funding to services like the government-run job centres, will potentially turn more Italians against the EU.
‘The US Midterm elections fall on November 6 and could be highly significant for the future of the Trump administration. The Republican Party would be hoping to maintain their majority in both the Senate and the House of Representatives; however, recent tumultuous events in the US have put this election on a knife edge.’ Lyell analyses the possible impact of recent events on the midterms.
“Austerity is coming to an end, but discipline will remain.” Philip Hammond repeated this slogan twice at the end of his budget speech today. His aim was to hammer home that there is still a big difference between Jeremy Corbyn’s ‘tax-and-spend’ Labour, and the governing Conservative Party.” Sam Jacobsen analyses Phillip Hammond’s budget.
“The premiership of Margaret Thatcher was as ground-breaking as it was controversial. Thatcher’s premiership oversaw the most transformative period in British society since the Second World War. She was elected in a time of great uncertainty during the Winter of Discontent.”
‘The speaker, who represents the Buckingham Constituency, has been well regarded as a reformer, seeking to bring the Houses of Parliament into the modern era by ensuring that odd conventions that have precipitated since the 1800’s do not have as much relevance in today’s proceedings.’ Joe Monk analyses Bercow’s time as speaker.
“Throughout her speech, Sturgeon attacked what she called an unstable government at Westminster, contrasting the “shambolic, chaotic and utterly incompetent” handling of the Brexit negotiations with the ‘sturdy’ and ‘functioning’ SNP at Holyrood.” Christy analyses the SNP’s party conference.
“Consequently, it’s very hard to determine who has the upper foot for when PMQ’s resume on Wednesday.” Joe Monk considers the lessons learnt from the party conferences.
“The Conservative Party Conference set off for a planned three days on Sunday. Looming over this conference has been a battle over what position the government should take in the final months of Brexit negotiations. There have been deep-seated opinions on both sides but it comes down to the membership and the ERG, versus Theresa May and her inner circle.” George Royce gives a day by day analysis of the party conference.
Goal number two of the Sustainable Development Goals is a pledge to end world hunger by 2030. However, a rise in global hunger over the past two years, and the threat of further increases in the future, has meant the likelihood of achieving this goal is rapidly decreasing. Charlotte Davies explains.
Jean Claude-Juncker delivered his State of the Union Address last week and with a matter of weeks left for negotiations, Brexit was of course at the centre of the discussion. Christy Williams analyses the speech and the question of the Irish Border, which is yet to be resolved.